中东是全球硫磺供给的核心枢纽,产量占全球 40% 以上,贸易量占全球海运贸易总量的 50% 左右,且几乎全部经霍尔木兹海峡运输,是全球硫磺贸易的 “咽喉要道”。据行业分析,本次冲突升级直接导致伊朗硫磺出口受阻,3 月订单约 50% 无法交付,装船量同比下降 45%。
Turbulence doesn’t have to be a matter of word-of-mouth. Commercial jets have the capacity to measure and transmit it automatically—using the software Cornman developed at NCAR in the early nineties—and have it relayed to other pilots. The software is freely available to airlines, but most of them balk at the cost of sending and processing the data, and sharing it with others. “It’s not much, but it adds up,” Sharman told me. “A lot of them are saying, ‘Wait a second, we’re barely making it. We can’t afford another hundred thousand on transmission!’ While the ones that are willing to pay for it say, ‘Why should I share my data with somebody else who doesn’t?” So far, only around two thousand planes have been equipped with the software—about one in four planes in the American fleet.
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